[EL] House votes vs seats in AZ & CA

[Nicholas Stephanopoulos]

Here's a slightly more rigorous analysis: Four states with at least five
districts each (Arizona, California, New Jersey, and Washington) used
commissions this cycle, and they had an average partisan bias of 3.7% in
the Democratic direction. Twenty states with at least five districts each
allowed politicians to draw district lines, and they had an average
partisan bias of 10.0% in the Republican direction. I'd say that's a pretty
good record for the good-government states...

Nick

On Wed, Nov 21, 2012 at 1:12 PM, Gaddie, Ronald K. <rkgaddie at ou.edu> wrote:

>  So, if I read this right, in commission-based, 'good government'
> redistricting states, there was an eleven-point swing bonus for the
> Democrats, and in one instance a minority of the votes resulted in a
> majority of the seats?
>
>   Ronald Keith Gaddie, Ph.D.
>  Professor of Political Science
> Editor, *Social Science Quarterly*
> The University of Oklahoma
> 455 West Lindsey Street, Room 222
> Norman, OK  73019-2001
> Phone 405-325-4989
> Fax 405-325-0718
> E-mail: rkgaddie at ou.edu
> http://faculty-staff.ou.edu/G/Ronald.K.Gaddie-1
> http://socialsciencequarterly.org
>     ------------------------------
> *From:* law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu [
> law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] on behalf of Douglas
> Johnson [djohnson at ndcresearch.com]
> *Sent:* Wednesday, November 21, 2012 1:52 PM
> *To:* 'Rick Hasen'; law-election at uci.edu
> *Subject:* Re: [EL] House votes vs seats in AZ & CA
>
>   This article notes that in AZ, according to the latest votes counts,
> Democratic House candidates received 44.6 % of votes and won 55.56% of
> seats.
>
>
>
> In California – the other state where an independently-selected and
> independently-acting commission controls redistricting – according to the
> vote counts on Nov. 20 Democratic House candidates won 60.2% of votes and
> 71.7% of seats.
>
>
>
> All House races in California have been called by AP, though 1.2 million
> ballots remain to be counted.
>
>
>
> Both states saw a number of close elections. At one point, seven of the
> nine not-yet-decided elections in the country (as counted by The Hill
> newspaper) were in AZ and CA.
>
>
>
> -        Doug
>
>
>
> Douglas Johnson, Fellow
>
> Rose Institute of State and Local Government
>
> at Claremont McKenna College
>
> douglas.johnson at cmc.edu
>
> 310-200-2058
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> *From:* law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu [mailto:
> law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] *On Behalf Of *Rick Hasen
> *Sent:* Wednesday, November 21, 2012 9:13 AM
> *To:* law-election at UCI.edu
> *Subject:* [EL] ELB News and Commentary 11/21/12
>   “Guest Column: Arizona’s nonpartisan redistricting creates fairer
> election outcomes” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=44633>
>
> Posted on November 21, 2012 8:49 am <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=44633>
> by Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>
>
> Elliott Weiss has written this oped<http://azstarnet.com/news/opinion/guest-column-arizona-s-nonpartisan-redistricting-creates-fairer-election-outcomes/article_60ff9cc0-d4cf-55e1-99f0-b9baa151ebed.html>for the
> *Arizona Daily Star.*
>
>
>
>
> _______________________________________________
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>



-- 
Nicholas O. Stephanopoulos
Assistant Professor of Law
University of Chicago Law School
nsteph at uchicago.edu
(773) 702-4226
http://www.law.uchicago.edu/faculty/stephanopoulos
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