[EL] House votes vs seats in AZ & CA

[Gaddie, Ronald K.]

Hence the 'quotes' . . . ;)

Happy Thanksgiving.

Ronald Keith Gaddie, Ph.D.
Professor of Political Science
Editor, Social Science Quarterly
The University of Oklahoma
455 West Lindsey Street, Room 222
Norman, OK  73019-2001
Phone 405-325-4989
Fax 405-325-0718
E-mail: rkgaddie at ou.edu
http://faculty-staff.ou.edu/G/Ronald.K.Gaddie-1
http://socialsciencequarterly.org
________________________________
From: Sean Parnell [sean at impactpolicymanagement.com]
Sent: Wednesday, November 21, 2012 2:49 PM
To: 'Nicholas Stephanopoulos'; Gaddie, Ronald K.
Cc: law-election at uci.edu
Subject: RE: [EL] House votes vs seats in AZ & CA

It’s been a while since I’ve seen California and New Jersey referred to as “good government states.” ;->

Which maybe helps to illustrate that ‘good government’ might be something other than having the ‘right’ ethics/campaign finance/lobbying/election laws.

Happy Thanksgiving to all.

Best,

Sean Parnell
President
Impact Policy Management, LLC
6411 Caleb Court
Alexandria, VA  22315
571-289-1374 (c)
sean at impactpolicymanagement.com

From: law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu [mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] On Behalf Of Nicholas Stephanopoulos
Sent: Wednesday, November 21, 2012 2:49 PM
To: Gaddie, Ronald K.
Cc: law-election at uci.edu
Subject: Re: [EL] House votes vs seats in AZ & CA

Here's a slightly more rigorous analysis: Four states with at least five districts each (Arizona, California, New Jersey, and Washington) used commissions this cycle, and they had an average partisan bias of 3.7% in the Democratic direction. Twenty states with at least five districts each allowed politicians to draw district lines, and they had an average partisan bias of 10.0% in the Republican direction. I'd say that's a pretty good record for the good-government states...

Nick
On Wed, Nov 21, 2012 at 1:12 PM, Gaddie, Ronald K. <rkgaddie at ou.edu<mailto:rkgaddie at ou.edu>> wrote:
So, if I read this right, in commission-based, 'good government' redistricting states, there was an eleven-point swing bonus for the Democrats, and in one instance a minority of the votes resulted in a majority of the seats?

Ronald Keith Gaddie, Ph.D.
Professor of Political Science
Editor, Social Science Quarterly
The University of Oklahoma
455 West Lindsey Street, Room 222
Norman, OK  73019-2001
Phone 405-325-4989<tel:405-325-4989>
Fax 405-325-0718<tel:405-325-0718>
E-mail: rkgaddie at ou.edu<mailto:rkgaddie at ou.edu>
http://faculty-staff.ou.edu/G/Ronald.K.Gaddie-1
http://socialsciencequarterly.org
________________________________
From: law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu<mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu> [law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu<mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu>] on behalf of Douglas Johnson [djohnson at ndcresearch.com<mailto:djohnson at ndcresearch.com>]
Sent: Wednesday, November 21, 2012 1:52 PM
To: 'Rick Hasen'; law-election at uci.edu<mailto:law-election at uci.edu>
Subject: Re: [EL] House votes vs seats in AZ & CA
This article notes that in AZ, according to the latest votes counts, Democratic House candidates received 44.6 % of votes and won 55.56% of seats.

In California – the other state where an independently-selected and independently-acting commission controls redistricting – according to the vote counts on Nov. 20 Democratic House candidates won 60.2% of votes and 71.7% of seats.

All House races in California have been called by AP, though 1.2 million ballots remain to be counted.

Both states saw a number of close elections. At one point, seven of the nine not-yet-decided elections in the country (as counted by The Hill newspaper) were in AZ and CA.

-        Doug

Douglas Johnson, Fellow
Rose Institute of State and Local Government
at Claremont McKenna College
douglas.johnson at cmc.edu<mailto:douglas.johnson at cmc.edu>
310-200-2058<tel:310-200-2058>



From: law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu<mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu> [mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu<mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu>] On Behalf Of Rick Hasen
Sent: Wednesday, November 21, 2012 9:13 AM
To: law-election at UCI.edu<mailto:law-election at UCI.edu>
Subject: [EL] ELB News and Commentary 11/21/12
“Guest Column: Arizona’s nonpartisan redistricting creates fairer election outcomes”<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=44633>
Posted on November 21, 2012 8:49 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=44633> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Elliott Weiss has written this oped<http://azstarnet.com/news/opinion/guest-column-arizona-s-nonpartisan-redistricting-creates-fairer-election-outcomes/article_60ff9cc0-d4cf-55e1-99f0-b9baa151ebed.html> for the Arizona Daily Star.



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--
Nicholas O. Stephanopoulos
Assistant Professor of Law
University of Chicago Law School
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